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Woof. With college football season right around the corner, pundits across the internet are cranking up their ovens and churning out the hottest takes they can cook up. We’ve even been doing it ourselves with Siblings’ Three Reasons You’ll Suck In 2016: [insert school here] series.
But this article isn’t about a hot take. This outrage will be cultivated from cold hard figures. I’m talkin’ calculations and shit. Jason Lisk, a writer for The Big Lead, created a system for finding the most overrated teams in college football:
Which football programs of the last decade have been the most overrated? To answer this question, I took an objective approach by comparing the preseason AP Top 25 to the end of season poll after the bowl games, for every year since 2006. (all info from http://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/.)
For programs not ranked at the end of the season, I assigned an end-of-year ranking of “30” for uniformity (though certainly some seasons are worse than others). That way, a team ranked 25th would still get a penalty, but it wouldn’t be the same as the fifth overall team finishing unranked (and more in line with the fifth overall team finishing 10th).
To get on this list, a team generally had to be pretty good, and have some high expectations. Teams with no expectations cannot be overrated, since no one is rating them in the first place. Programs on this list won four national championships in the last decade, so don’t weep for them too much. Check back tomorrow for the most underrated programs of the last decade using the same method, and here you go with the top 10 (well, eleven, since there was a tie).
The Dawgs top the list of being the biggest letdowns of the past 10 years, followed by the USC Trojans, Nebraska Cornhuskers, and Oklahoma Sooners. Here’s the full list:
#10 (Tie) Virginia Tech Hokies (7 seasons ranked preseason, 6 seasons ranked post, -31)
#9 Florida Gators (8 seasons ranked preseason, 6 seasons ranked post, -34)
#8 West Virginia Mountaineers (6 seasons ranked preseason, 5 seasons ranked post, -35)
#7 LSU Tigers (10 seasons ranked preseason, 8 seasons ranked post, -40)
#6 Florida State Seminoles (9 seasons ranked preseason, 7 seasons ranked post, -48)
#5 Texas Longhorns (9 seasons ranked preseason, 7 seasons ranked post, -48)
#4 Oklahoma Sooners (10 seasons ranked preseason, 8 seasons ranked post, -56)
#3 Nebraska Cornhuskers (8 seasons ranked preseason, 4 seasons ranked post, -64)
#2 USC Trojans (10 seasons ranked preseason, 7 seasons ranked post, -66)
#1 Georgia Bulldogs (10 seasons ranked preseason, 6 seasons ranked post, -75)
Stay tuned for the list of the decade’s most underrated teams in college football, which Lisk should release soon..
[via The Big Lead]
Image via YouTube